#iranisraelconflict, Israel-Iran conflict: The beginning of a new tragedy for humanity?

 Introduction: In the last few years, there has been a war-like situation in West Asia in which thousands of people have seen their people dying in front of them and have experienced their death. It did not matter whether those people we met momentarily were alive or dead because the whole world was engaged in the race of development.

 It seemed as if someone's death or living had no impact on humanity. But this time it seems that the situation is going to change completely because this time two big A clash of powers has begun, increasing global political tensions as a possible direct conflict between Israel and Iran has become a matter of serious concern. When we encounter words like 'the beginning of the Israel-Iran war', naturally The fear of a terrible tragedy arises in the mind. This will not just be a conflict between two countries, but it could have deep and devastating consequences for all of humanity. 

This article focuses on this concern, in which the arrogance of leaders, mutual hostility, and the threat to the lives of crores of people The potential threat will be analyzed, and the role of the United Nations (UNO) will also be highlighted.

Arrogance or mutual enmity of leaders: threat to the lives of crores of people The roots of any conflict often lie in personal ambitions, historical grievances, and competition for power. Same is the case with Israel and Iran. The rhetoric between the leaders of the two countries is often sharp and aggressive, which reflects their 'mutual enmity'. Reflects. This enmity is not merely political, but a complex mix of religious, ideological, and strategic interests.

 Ego of leaders: Ego often leads leaders to ignore its broader consequences. forces for. To protect or enhance their position, power, and legacy, they make decisions that can put the lives of millions at risk. Israel is extremely sensitive about its security, especially Iran's nuclear program and its growing influence in the region. looking at. At the same time, it always considers itself a big regional power and considers Israel a pawn of American imperialism.

 The conflict between these two viewpoints, in which retreat on either side is considered weakness. Could create a dangerous situation. Legacy of mutual enmity: Enmity between Israel and Iran is nothing new. Since the Iranian Revolution of 1979, when Iran became an Islamic republic, relations between the two countries have grown rapidly.

 Iran does not recognize Israel's existence and supports the Palestinian cause. At the same time, Israel considered Iran a major threat to its security, especially its ballistic missile program and groups such as Lebanon's Hezbollah and Gaza's Hamas. Because of his support. This deep-rooted hostility has been continuously instigating both the countries against each other.

Threat to the lives of millions of people: The consequences of the conflict between Iran and Israel would be catastrophic, not only for the Middle East but also globally. Here we have tried to understand about 

10 major effects in detail: 

1. Huge surge in oil prices and global inflation: This is the most immediate and widespread is one of the effects. Iran is one of the world's leading oil producers and controls the Strait of Hormuz, through which more than 20% of the world's oil trade passes. If the conflict escalates and Iran threatens to close the strait or If the U.S. shuts down, crude oil prices could skyrocket, increasing the cost of fuel, transportation and freight globally. This will further increase the already existing inflationary pressure across the world and make goods and services costlier for the common man.

2. Expansion of instability and regional conflicts in the Middle East: This conflict could increase instability in the Middle East to dangerous levels. Iran has proxy groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza and Houthi in Yemen. Direct conflict with Israel would further strengthen these proxy groups. could activate, leading to expansion of conflicts in neighboring countries like Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq. This could escalate into a full-scale regional war, leading to increased humanitarian crisis and displacement.

3. Negative impact on the global economy: In addition to increasing oil prices, the conflict could disrupt global supply chains. attacks on trade routes, closure of airspace and Increase in shipping costs will affect international trade. Investors will turn to safe-haven assets such as gold and government bonds, while stock markets may decline. This may slow down global economic growth.

4. Changes in geopolitical equations and intervention of big powers: This conflict may directly involve global powers such as the US, Russia, China and the EU. The US is a major ally of Israel, while Russia and China have relations with Iran. If the conflict escalates, these major powers may become directly or indirectly involved, altering the global geopolitical balance and increasing pressure on international diplomacy. 

5. Threat of nuclear proliferation: Israel's attacks on Iran's nuclear program have increased the threat of Iran's withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). If Iran rapidly advances its nuclear program and tries to acquire nuclear weapons, it could threaten the region. A nuclear arms race could begin in the future, which would be a major threat to global security.

6. Humanitarian crisis and displacement: The most tragic outcome of any major conflict is a humanitarian crisis. Attacks on cities, destruction of infrastructure and increasing violence kill large numbers of people who may be displaced, leading to a refugee crisis and increased need for humanitarian assistance.

7. Expansion of cyber warfare: Both Iran and Israel have strong cyber warfare capabilities. As conflict escalates, cyberattacks on critical infrastructure, government systems, and financial institutions may increase, causing widespread disruption and damage.

8. Increasing threat of terrorism: Expansion of instability and conflict in the Middle East has led to the rise of extremist groups. may get a boost. Terrorist organizations can take advantage of this unrest to increase their activities, posing a security threat in the region and beyond.

 9. Security Challenges for Israel: For Israel, this conflict will pose a major threat to its security. There could be an increase in missile and drone attacks from Iranian proxy groups and directly from Iran, putting pressure on its cities and military bases. Israel Will have to rely heavily on its air defense systems.

10. Impact on India: India imports about 85% of its crude oil requirement. The increase in oil prices will have a direct impact on India's economy, which will increase inflation. and the trade deficit may increase. Pressure on the rupee may also increase. Additionally, the safety of millions of Indian expatriates living in the Middle East may also become a concern, and closure of airspace may also impact flights. India peace and de-

Escalation has been appealed.

It is important to note that this conflict is currently escalating, and the severity of these impacts will depend on the war's longevity, intensity, and role of other countries involved. Will depend.

UNO's role?

In such critical times, the role of the United Nations (UNO) becomes extremely important. uno It has the primary mandate to maintain international peace and security. However, its effectiveness often depends on the political will of member states.

Possible roles of UNO:

1. Diplomatic intervention and mediation: The UNO, especially the Security Council, can make immediate diplomatic efforts to reduce tensions between Israel and Iran. This includes directly facilitating negotiations, mediating and brokering a ceasefire. Will involve putting pressure on. The Secretary General can also play an important mediatory role.

2. Use of resolutions and sanctions: Security Council to prevent or end conflict Can pass a proposal for. This may include measures such as a moratorium on military action, an arms embargo, or economic sanctions, although these are often subject to the threat of a veto.

3. Peacekeeping and humanitarian assistance: If conflict breaks out, UNO will play an important role in deploying peacekeeping missions and providing humanitarian assistance. Displaced UN agencies such as UNHCR, UNICEF, and WFP

People must be mobilized immediately to provide food, shelter and medical aid. 4. Forum to reduce tensions: UNO can provide a forum where representatives of Israel and Iran can meet directly or indirectly and express their concerns. Can do. This can help resolve misunderstandings and promote constructive dialogue.

5. Enforcement of international law: attention to violations of UNO international law May attract and call for accountability for war crimes or crimes against humanity. Institutions like the International Criminal Court (ICC) can also be involved.

Challenges and limitations: The role of UNO is not without challenges. Disagreements among the permanent members of the Security Council, particularly over the use of the veto power, can hinder effective action. Furthermore, the UNO has limited enforcement to enforce its policies.
powers, and often has to rely on the cooperation of member states. Both Israel and Iran are vulnerable to outside interference in their sovereignty matters, which could further complicate UNO efforts.

A ray of optimism: it is possible to avoid tragedy

Although the prospect of a 'great tragedy' is terrifying, there is always a ray of optimism. War is not inevitable. Human history bears witness to the fact that diplomatic efforts, Even the most serious conflicts can be avoided with prudent leadership, and international cooperation.

Basis of optimistic outlook:

• Cost of war: Both Israel and Iran are well aware of the full scale But how high would the cost of war be to them and to the entire region. This war will bring no real victory to either side, but only destruction and suffering. This understanding will probably force them to exercise restraint.

• Possibility of diplomatic initiative: Even if tensions are currently high, secret diplomatic channels are always open. Third party countries, who are interested in peace and stability in the region, can come forward to mediate.

• Pressure from the international community: Major countries of the world, including the US, China, Russia, and the European Union, can use their diplomatic and economic power to stop the war. They were able to reduce tension on both sides and bring them to the negotiating table. Can apply pressure to return.

• Public aspirations: The general public of both Israel and Iran probably do not want war. They want to live in peace and stability to make their life better. Can. This internal pressure may also be a factor in leaders exercising restraint.

• UNO's continuing efforts: UNO, despite all its limitations, will remain an important institution for promoting international peace and security. its continuous Efforts, no matter how difficult, can help prevent conflict and reduce humanitarian crises.

conclusion

A potential war between Israel and Iran could indeed be the foundation of a terrible tragedy for humanity. The arrogance and mutual enmity of the leaders can put the lives of crores of people in danger. The Middle East, already beset by conflicts, could endure another major war.

Will not be able to do it. However, we should not lose hope. Prudent leadership, strong diplomatic efforts, and the determination of the international community can avert this dire scenario. The United Nations should use its full potential, and all countries should work together to promote dialogue between Israel and Iran, correct misunderstandings, and pave the way for peace and coexistence instead of conflict. it

It is not just a

matter of regional peace, but a matter of the future of entire humanity. We

must collectively strive to ensure that instead of 'horrible tragedy', the path of peace and understanding is chosen.